The thunderclap of July 6, still resounds in the sky of the automotive industry French, when Nicolas Hulot has announced the end of the vehicle thermal engine (petrol or diesel) by 2040 as one of the major axes of the climate plan of the government. But, without a doubt this is the whole of european industry, which trembled, as the federation of German auto VBA (Verband der Automobilindustrie) itself has commissioned a study on the consequences that would have, in Germany, such a decision. What’s more, by choosing a horizon to a lot more short-term : 2030.
Thus, according to the study by economic research institute IFO (Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung), commissioned by the VDA and released Thursday, a possible ban on combustion engines in Germany by 2030 would threaten more than 600,000 jobs in the country.
In detail, precise the EXPECTATIONS, the transition to a automotive industry, zero-emission threaten directly usd 426,000 jobs at the manufacturers, and the rest in related sectors, such as in the equipment suppliers and sub-contractors.
The German industry is looking for a loophole
The VDA, which represents manufacturers such as Volkswagen , Daimler and BMW, is in talks with the government on a project to reduce emissions from diesel engines. The profession hopes to be able to avoid a total ban on diesel engines as proposed by several major German cities, including Munich and Stuttgart.
The pollution generated by diesel engines has become a sensitive subject since the scandal of match-fixing in emissions testing of diesel vehicles from VW, which broke out in September 2015.
Meeting on public health with the manufacturers
The representatives of the governments of the State the German federal government and the Länder must meet with officials of the automobile manufacturers in the August 2 to try to find solutions in order to reduce the pollution of diesel engines, accused of support of respiratory diseases.
“The industry deliberately before the worst-case scenario to defend their interests,” said Frank Schwope, analyst at NordLB, in judging it to be “incomprehensible” to the figures advanced by the Ifo.
For two or three jobs lost with the disappearance of the engines, a job will be created in research and development, computer science and other fields of activity related to the technologies of zero-emissions, he argued.
Barbara Hendricks, the German minister for the Environment, said in the Tuesday edition of the newspaper Handelsblatt that “the responsibility not to get there (total ban) was to the automobile industry.”